AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE BEGINS TO DEVELOP
OVER EASTERN TEXAS SUNDAY NIGHT.
AS THIS LOW TRACKS EAST AND DEEPENS
THROUGH THE DAY MONDAY...
A WARM FRONT WILL GLIDE OVER THE ARCTIC HIGH...
PRODUCING LIGHT SNOW ACROSS THE REGION.
AS THIS LOW APPROACHES THE TENNESSEE VALLEY...
A WARM NOSE WILL BEGIN TO ENTER THE AREA...
POSSIBLY CHANGING SNOW OVER TO A WINTRY MIX OF SLEET,
RAIN OR FREEZING RAIN. CONFIDENCE IS HIGh
ON A WINTER STORM FOR THE AREA
BEGINNING MONDAY...
HOWEVER P-TYPE REMAINS THE BIGGEST QUESTION.
MODELS CONTINUE TO JUMP AROUND WITH THE TRACK OF THE LOW.
IF THE LOW TRACKS NORTH FROM THE TENNESSEE VALLEY
AND REMAINS WEST OF THE APPALACHIANS...
P-TYPE WILL CHANGE FROM SNOW TO SLEET TO RAIN
MONDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT.
IF THE TRACK IS FARTHER SOUTH AND EAST OF THE APPALACHIANS
A LONGER DURATION OF SNOW IS EXPECTED WITH A CHANGE OVER
TO SLEET/RAIN OCCURRING LATER MONDAY NIGHT.
DYNAMICS AND LIFT WITH THIS SYSTEM ARE VERY IMPRESSIVE
ESPECIALLY AS THE LOW APPROACHES THE AREA.
UPWARDS OF AN INCH OF LIQUID IS LIKELY...
BUT AT WHAT P-TYPE IT FALLS AS IS ANOTHER QUESTION TO
ANSWER.
WE WILL KEEP P-TYPE SIMPLE WITH RAIN/SNOW.
WE WILL ALSO KEEP SNOWFALL LIGHT TO MODERATE
AND NOT SPECULATE ON AMOUNTS AT THIS TIME.
