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New Podesta Email Exposes Dem Playbook For Rigging Polls Through "Oversamples"

empowers

Posted 6:29 am, 10/24/2016

This is what Donald was talking about. He is sure a wise man!

lagrangepoint

Posted 12:08 am, 10/24/2016

More like never trust one of your sources it seems to be. Zerohedge should know this so the one reporting this is likely lying through his teeth. Over sampling is used to correct for contact errors.


Lets say for the sake of argument that I want to poll old white males in Wilkes county. And I know based on other data namely the census that for Republicans they tend to have 5 of those in each household and for Democrats it's 1 per house.

I could do what the so called unskewed polls often try and call up 10 democrats and 10 republicans. But that's not going to give me an accurate measure because I just missed another 40 republicans. So if I want to correct for this I over sample the republicans so I get a figure that better matches the reality. This is what the document is covering. And I would place money on the writer of the article knowing this.

sparkling water

Posted 9:25 pm, 10/23/2016

Never trust a democrat or any of their surrogates.

Hold the line.

Trump

lagrangepoint

Posted 8:14 pm, 10/23/2016

So looking at the document in question not surprised that it says nothing about rigging polls.


This line from the document should give you a hint

    Over-sample the Native American population.

      The ratio of voters-to phone numbers is higher in areas with high Native American populations.

Crooked Hillary

Posted 8:06 pm, 10/23/2016

Earlier this morning we wrote about the obvious sampling bias in the latest ABC / Washington Post poll that showed a 12-point national advantage for Hillary. Like many of the recent polls from Reuters, ABC and The Washington Post, this latest poll included a 9-point sampling bias toward registered democrats.

Now, for all of you out there who still aren't convinced that the polls are rigged, we present to you the following Podesta email, leaked earlier today, that conveniently spells out, in startling detail, exactly how to rig them. The email starts out with a request for recommendations on "oversamples for polling" in order to "maximize what we get out of our media polling."

I also want to get your Atlas folks to recommend oversamples for our polling before we start in February. By market, regions, etc. I want to get this all compiled into one set of recommendations so we can maximize what we get out of our media polling.

The email even includes a handy, 37-page guide with the following poll-rigging recommendations. In Arizona, over sampling of Hispanics and Native Americans is highly recommended:





http://www.zerohedge.com/ne...versamples


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